Monday, November 12, 2018

Bring Out the Best, Part 1

I'm hereby launching a series of blog posts about civility. It seems to me that as a society, our civility has gone downhill in recent times. Of course, one sign of this is the behavior of our president, Donald Trump. But our civility has been in decline since before Mr. Trump ran for president.

Civility is actually a hard word to define. It's sort of like what one Supreme Court justice wrote several years ago about pornography, the subject of a case the Supreme Court was reviewing. Justice Potter Stewart held in an opinion about the case Jacobellis v. Ohio:

... that the Constitution protected all obscenity except "hard-core pornography". He wrote, "I shall not today attempt further to define the kinds of material I understand to be embraced within that shorthand description; and perhaps I could never succeed in intelligibly doing so. But I know it when I see it ...

I think we all likewise know civility — and also its opposite, incivility — whenever we see it or do it.

What civility "looks like"


We hear so much about expressions of hate today. When one is filled with hate one tends to be uncivil. And one often feels entirely justified in his or her hatefulness and incivility.

Our incivility is very often a reaction to somebody else's hatefulness and incivility. Incivility thus breeds incivility.

On the other hand, I find in my day-to-day experience that civility breeds civility. I try to smile and say hello to strangers I encounter — say, when I am at the coffee dispensers while I'm eating breakfast at Panera. I may make some non-threatening comment such as, "I see you like the dark roast coffee. So do I!"

That word, "non-threatening," is crucial. I think hatred, incivility, and all their countless synonyms have to do with our feeling threatened by someone in some way. When we feel another person may be a threat, it is very hard for us to smile at them and be nice and civil to them.

If we feel threatened, then — if only at some perhaps unconscious level of our mental apparatus — we will experience fear. Our hatred and incivility are apt to be the result of our fear.

We fear, of course, any apparent threat to our own personal lives and well-being. But we likewise react negatively to anyone or anything that we interpret as menacing our families and loved ones.

By extension from that fact, we tend to include within our personal circle — i.e., the people we don't feel threatened by — certain individuals who aren't our own family members but whose friendship we trust in and believe in. And by further extension, we tend to include within our personal circle of people we trust and believe in other people we don't actually know, as long as they seem to be "just like us."

All that is normal and natural.

The question is: When we encounter people who don't, on the surface, seem to be "just like us," how do we nevertheless find it within ourselves the ability to be civil to them?

In the area in which I live, including the court I live on, I encounter lots of people who don't look like me and in various ways don't act just like me. Often, this is due to racial/ethnic differences, but it can also be due to age differences, gender differences, etc. etc. etc.

I have found that the best way to deal with such social situations is with civility. I smile. I act in a friendly way toward everyone. And I find that my smiling civility, my niceness, and my friendliness are almost always returned in kind to me.

Civility, I think, is that approach to living which brings out the best in us. Incivility, on the other hand, brings out the beast in us.

That's enough for my first installment about civility. Stay tuned for later installments ....










Tuesday, November 06, 2018

Vote!

It's Election Day today! Please, if you are a registered voter and have not done so already, go vote!

This front-page article in today's Washington Post says there are usually huge numbers of "nonvoters" in America's midterm elections. This year, those who don't show up to vote may be deciding America's future, for better or for worse.

If you are reading this, you may already know I'm in favor of liberal Democrats. You may not feel the same way. That's OK! I still urge you to go vote!

You may feel put off by the way politics is being conducted these days, with both sides treating opponents as if they were in league with the devil. I agree! All the poisonous hatefulness in politics today is truly ugly! And you know what? It's happening because every politician is anxious to draw maximum support from his or her "base." That's because anyone who is outside one of the two parties' political "bases" may not even vote at all. So why even try to appeal to him or her?

Pardon my French, but this kind of polarization sucks!

And if ugly political polarization is one of the reasons you don't feel inclined to vote, your not going to the polls on Election Day today is actually going to accentuate the ugly polarization!

Depending on where you live in the United States, your vote actually could make a big difference as to who wins certain races. This is so even though a great many nonvoters will tell you they believe their vote makes no difference at all!

This year there are 35 seats in the U.S. Senate up for grabs. Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight website says there's a one-in-five chance that the Democrats will win control of the Senate:




That is, there's a one-in-five chance that this year's election will wind up putting a total of at least 51 Democrats in the 100-member U.S. Senate next year. Right now, the Democrats (including the two Independent senators who "caucus" with them) have 49 seats, and the Republicans are in the majority at 51 seats.

So expert forecaster Nate Silver is predicting that there is a one-in-five chance that the Democrats will pick up a net gain of at least two Senate seats, and thereby win control of the Senate.

Mr. Silver believes there are two Senate races that are toss-ups — the one in Missouri and the one in Nevada:



In Missouri, incumbent Senator Claire McCaskill, a Democrat, is pitted against Republican Josh Hawley in a super-tight race. In Nevada, incumbent Republican Senator Dean Heller is pitted against Democratic challenger Jacky Rosen in another race that is super-tight.

Mr. Silver believes those two states are among the states that are most likely to decide which party controls the Senate next year:


Each of those two states — Nevada and Missouri — has over a 10-percent chance of being the "tipping point" which determines which party controls the U.S. Senate. In Nevada alone, the "voter power index" is the third largest of all the states', meaning there is a high "relative likelihood" that any particular individual voter in Nevada will determine the majority party in the Senate!

(And notice that the "voter power index" in top-ranked North Dakota is an ultra-high 26.3, meaning that North Dakotans' decisions whether or not to go to the polls today may have a huge impact on our country's future.)

If Nevada and Missouri both go for their Democratic Senate hopefuls, and if the Democrats hold onto their current leads in 25 other states, there would wind up being exactly 50 Democrats (including two Independents) in the Senate next year. There would be exactly 50 Republicans. The Senate would be evenly split. Vice President Pence, a Republican, would break any tie votes that occur.

To repeat: there is a pretty fair chance that the Senate could wind up being divided 50-50 next year, which means that any Senate vote that strictly follows party lines would have the tie broken by Vice President Pence.

So I'm saying that everything hangs in the balance today, Election Day 2018. Our political system is so close to being exactly evenly divided that America's so-called "nonvoters" who decide to actually go vote today may decide our country's future. So go vote!